Image generation: Midjourney exponential progress
AI didn’t spend a long time with roughly human-level ability to imitate art styles, before it became vastly superhuman at this skill. Yet for some reason, people seem happy to stake the future on the assumption that AI will spend a long time with ~par-human science ability.
V3 Released on Jul 25 2022
V6 Released on Dec 21 2023
What if AIs improve this fast at science? What if AIs improve this fast at programming/hacking? What if AIs improve this fast at making superviruses? What if AIs improve this fast at most jobs? What if AIs improve this fast at persuasion?
@sama said “i expect ai to be capable of superhuman persuasion well before it is superhuman at general intelligence, which may lead to some very strange outcomes” Did our ancestral environment prepare us for change this rapid? It’s not just art, AIs are rapidly becoming superhuman in skill after skill:
“See also: the first professional-level Go AI rapidly giving way to vastly superhuman Go AI; early calculating machines vastly exceeding human performance at arithmetic; etc. When you can automate a task at all, you can often do it better, and ~always at enormous scale.”
Midjourney speed of progress is truly insane
