5 Optimist Falacies

Doomer chimp

Uhh, a species of chimp is on track to far surpass us in intelligence. The last time this happened, it led to the 6th Mass Extinction.

Optimist chimp

Lol it’s ridiculous to worry.
Why would they even want to kill chimps?

Doomer chimp

They don’t need to WANT to kill us. They might just want rocks from our land and… not care about us

Optimist chimp

Rocks? Those useless things? Lmao thought you said they were smart!

Doomer chimp

But you’re just a mere chimp, if you were 1000x smarter you might find tons of uses for rocks!

Optimist chimp

They’ll trade with us

Doomer chimp

If they’re much smarter, what do we have that they can’t just… take from us?

Optimist chimp

Comparative advantage, duh. We’re better at finding berries

Doomer chimp

You don’t think they can figure out better ways of getting berries?

Optimist chimp

We’re stronger, we’ll defend our land. They’ll have to get rocks elsewhere

Doomer chimp

Maybe that delays them a bit, but does that really give you comfort?

Optimist chimp

We’ll play them off each other

Doomer chimp

You think mere chimps will actually keep up in human politics?

Optimist chimp

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people literally can’t extrapolate trends lol

people literally can’t extrapolate trends lol

people literally can’t extrapolate trends lol

people literally can’t extrapolate trends lol

(because of this AGI will literally kill us)

“We don’t program intelligence, we grow it.”
“I think it’s pretty likely the entire surface of the earth will be covered with solar panels and data centers.”

AI that I’m building will likely kills us all, but I’m optimistic that ppl will stop me in time..
– CEO of Google

🚨 Google CEO says the risk of AI causing human extinction is “actually pretty high” (!!)

But he’s an “optimist” because “humanity will rally to prevent catastrophe”

Meanwhile, his firm is lobbying to ban states from ANY regulation for 10 YEARS.

This situation is I N S A N E.

Sam Altman in 2023: “the worst case scenario is lights out for everyone”

Sam Altman in 2025: the worst case scenario is that ASI might not have as much 💫 positive impact 💫 as we’d hoped ☺️

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