More Explainers

A curated collection of presentations / interviews / videos explaining various aspects of the problem in an impactful way.

The Dark Side of Competition in AI | Liv Boeree | TED

November 9, 2023 5:16 pm

Competition is a core part of human nature, and it can drive us to extraordinary feats. But when it goes wrong, the results can be devastating. Poker champion and science communicator Liv Boeree introduces us to "Moloch's trap" — the dark force of game theory driving many of humanity's biggest social problems, which is now threatening to derail the AI industry.

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https://youtu.be/WX_vN1QYgmE

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When all the AI stuff is moving too fast

March 4, 2024 10:13 pm

I'm very excited to be a plumber/cop!
__________________________________________________
Contact, links: https://beacons.ai/andrewrousso
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God-like AI is Closer Than You Think | Aaron Bastani Meets Ian Hogarth | Downstream

May 21, 2023 7:00 pm

Ian Hogarth has invested in more than 50 artificial intelligence companies and is co-author of the annual “State of AI” report. And he's worried. Not only in regard to the immensely disruptive consequences of machine learning for employment, as AI automates potentially millions of jobs, but with the potential rise of an 'AGI' (an artificial general intelligence). For Hogarth, the prospect of a machine able to augment its own intelligence is of grave concern - and something which, so far, political elites have ignored.

So what could the emergence of an AGI mean? And how soon before it arrives - if at all? How important is quantum computing? And does the existence of these technologies within the broader framework of capitalism mitigate or amplify risks? Could AI operate more effectively under a different kind of economic system, and will its diffusion herald a break with capitalism as we know it?
_________________________________________________________

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Emmett Shear Reacts To AI Doom Theories

June 22, 2023 5:15 pm

Full episode: https://youtu.be/ICnFtfN-sUc

Emmett Shear is the co-founder of Twitch, one of the most influential platforms in recent history. From its humble beginnings as a gaming streaming platform to becoming a cultural phenomenon, Twitch has redefined the way we connect, entertain, and build communities online.

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What Does the AI Boom Really Mean for Humanity? | The Future With Hannah Fry

September 13, 2024 12:00 am

Artificial intelligence has begun to exhibit early signs of agency. Are we on a path to superintelligence? Self destruction? Or is the potential promise and threat of AI being overblown?

Do you want to know what your future holds? A life beyond 150 years old? A world where computers can read our emotions? A planet transformed by unlimited clean energy? Mathematician Hannah Fry will explore these questions and more.

Watch more from The Future With Hannah Fry here: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLqq4LnWs3olV_z1ZXBSDTbcXEBNOB-MHF

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Tech Expert Warns of AI's Potentially Dangerous Capabilities

December 19, 2023 8:11 pm

Taken from JRE #2076 w/Aza Raskin & Tristan Harris:
https://open.spotify.com/episode/4ZcBHvjhGMTTdGF3fIdvg9?si=a088d72e69ee4962
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The danger of AI is weirder than you think | Janelle Shane

November 14, 2019 1:02 am

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The danger of artificial intelligence isn't that it's going to rebel against us, but that it's going to do exactly what we ask it to do, says AI researcher Janelle Shane. Sharing the weird, sometimes alarming antics of AI algorithms as they try to solve human problems -- like creating new ice cream flavors or recognizing cars on the road -- Shane shows why AI doesn't yet measure up to real brains.
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Joe Rogan Experience #2156 - Jeremie & Edouard Harris

May 25, 2024 7:00 pm

Jeremie Harris is the CEO and Edouard Harris the CTO of Gladstone AI, an organization dedicated to promoting the responsible development and adoption of AI.

www.gladstone.ai
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Artificial Intelligence: it will kill us | Jay Tuck | TEDxHamburgSalon

January 31, 2017 8:36 pm

For more information on Jay Tuck, please visit our website www.tedxhamburg.de

US defense expert Jay Tuck was news director of the daily news program ARD-Tagesthemen and combat correspondent for GermanTelevision in two Gulf Wars. He has produced over 500 segments for the network. His investigative reports on security policy, espionage activities and weapons technology appear in leading newspapers, television networks and magazines throughout Europe, including Cicero, Focus, PC-Welt, Playboy, Stern, Welt am Sonntag and ZEITmagazin. He is author of a widely acclaimed book on electronic intelligence activities, “High-Tech Espionage” (St. Martin’s Press), published in fourteen countries. He is Executive Producer for a weekly technology magazine on international television in the Arab world. For his latest book “Evolution without us – Will AI kill us?” he researched at US drone bases, the Pentagon, intelligence agencies and AI research institutions. His lively talks are accompanied by exclusive video and photographs.

This talk was given at a TEDx event using the TED conference format but independently organized by a local community. Learn more at http://ted.com/tedx
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The Real Reason to be Afraid of Artificial Intelligence | Peter Haas | TEDxDirigo

December 15, 2017 5:55 pm

A robotics researcher afraid of robots, Peter Haas, invites us into his world of understand where the threats of robots and artificial intelligence lie. Before we get to Sci-Fi robot death machines, there's something right in front of us we need to confront - ourselves. Peter is the Associate Director of the Brown University Humanity Centered Robotics Initiative. He was the Co-Founder and COO of XactSense, a UAV manufacturer working on LIDAR mapping and autonomous navigation. Prior to XactSense, Peter founded AIDG – a small hardware enterprise accelerator in emerging markets. Peter received both TED and Echoing Green fellowships. He has been a speaker at TED Global, The World Bank, Harvard University and other venues. He holds a Philosophy B.A. from Yale. This talk was given at a TEDx event using the TED conference format but independently organized by a local community. Learn more at https://www.ted.com/tedx ...

Preparing for a future with Artificial Intelligence | Robin Winsor | TEDxYYC

August 21, 2018 12:28 am

It’s often said that history repeats itself. Many times in the course of our history, new technologies have wiped out entire workforces. For upcoming generations, the rise of artificial intelligence represents the next great solution and the next great hurdle. Robin believes how we respond to this challenge, could be our defining moment as a species.

Robin Winsor is a technology leader and entrepreneur who has led several organizations from start-up to international success. Before joining Cybera as President and CEO in 2010, Winsor invented and developed the world’s first direct digital x-ray system, and holds multiple patents in the medical, well-logging and seismic industries. He is a past recipient of a Manning Innovation Award, the Ernst & Young Entrepreneur of the Year Award, and the Queen’s Diamond Jubilee Medal for outstanding service to Canada. He is a staunch advocate for transparency and lower cost information sharing through advancements in technology.


This talk was given at a TEDx event using the TED conference format but independently organized by a local community. Learn more at https://www.ted.com/tedx Robin Winsor is a highly influential visionary and executive in the technology field, who is known for being both a playful and provocative agent of change. Born in Scotland, Winsor grew up with a passion for both science and adventure, moving to Canada in 1982 to pursue both. Over the course of his extraordinary career, he invented the world’s first direct digital x-ray imaging device, and has led a
not-for-profit technology accelerator to become one of Canada’s most vocal champions for the digitally disadvantaged.

He joined Cybera as President and CEO in 2010. Under his leadership, the company’s mandate has expanded to provide digital services to Alberta’s K-12, startup, First Nations and public sectors. Cybera is now widely credited for overseeing the continuous development of Alberta’s cyberinfrastructure, while advocating for improvements to the availability and accessibility of technology, for all Canadians. This talk was given at a TEDx event using the TED conference format but independently organized by a local community. Learn more at https://www.ted.com/tedx
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A Stark Warning About AI Extinction

July 16, 2024 11:31 pm

Check out https://pauseai.info/

I’ve wanted to make this speech for a long time, but I’ve struggled to write a script that felt compelling. One night during a thunderstorm, I was finally struck with the inspiration to simply go record it with no script, no editing, only the unfiltered truth from someone in the know. I’m not being paid to say any of this, these are my genuine beliefs after years of education and research into AI and the array of risks and ethical issues arising from it.

Choose to heed my warning or don’t, all I ask is that you remember my words over the coming months and years as AI and robotics replace human agency in every corner of life. When the day comes where you open your eyes and see the danger as I do, don’t give up, come join the movement to save humanity #PauseAI. Saving ourselves will be the hardest thing our species has ever done and will require international cooperation and sacrifices, but with trade control on AI hardware and well-enforced regulations, we can slow down the race and catch our footing before it is too late.

Some background on me is that I’m a recent physics graduate who started learning about AI and machine learning a few years ago and quickly realized the massive implications that this technology has on a global scale. I also learned about the huge risks that AI presents and the lack of understanding or control that we have over these systems. After failing to convince myself that AI safety wasn’t something to worry about, I decided to dedicate my future to working on preventing catastrophe from AI and I am now in the process of beginning a career as a research engineer working on AI safety and control to provide alternatives to the giant black-box generalist models that

This speech is from the heart, it’s not perfectly coordinated, and I don’t flesh out every argument. That said, below are citations for the things that I talk about along with associated timestamps:

1:00 - It’s not just me, AI researchers views on existential risks https://pauseai.info/polls-and-surveys
1:30 - What are the dangers? https://www.securite-ia.fr/en/panorama
2:30 - What is different about modern AI? https://medium.com/@intelligentblock2018/understanding-the-key-differences-artificial-intelligence-vs-traditional-software-37941bba4cd9
4:10 - AI task performance trend lines https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/test-scores-ai-capabilities-relative-human-performance
4:40 - AI scales with compute https://dynomight.net/scaling/
5:40 - Project Stargate https://www.tomsguide.com/ai/meet-stargate-the-dollar100-billion-ai-supercomputer-being-built-by-microsoft-and-openai
7:30 - Video generators https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nByslCkykj8&ab_channel=Runway
8:45 - Humanoid simulation training https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kr7FaZPFp6M&ab_channel=NVIDIA
9:30 - Figure 01 Demonstration https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sq1QZB5baNw&ab_channel=Figure
14:00 - Inherent advantages for AI https://youtu.be/N1TEjTeQeg0?si=Er_Fhc5rH4u9Oc09&t=1523
14:10 - Money in AI https://www.statista.com/forecasts/1474143/global-ai-market-size
14:35 - Jailbreaks in LLMs https://ai.stackexchange.com/questions/42539/why-do-chatgpt-jailbreaks-work
14:58 - Undoing safety mechanisms https://www.conjecture.dev/research/unrlhf-efficiently-undoing-llm-safeguards
15:07 - AI companies aim to make AI smarter than us https://openai.com/research/
15:25 - No laws about autonomous weapons https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2023-10/news/pentagon-plans-mass-autonomous-weapons-deployment
16:05 - Yann LeCun paid to be “AI Evangelist” https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/shake-up-at-facebook-highlights-tension-in-race-for-ai/2018/01/24/5d21239a-0138-11e8-9d31-d72cf78dbeee_story.html
16:30 - We don’t know how to solve alignment https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_alignment
16:50 - AI companies aiming for agents https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/07/after-chatgpt-and-the-rise-of-chatbots-investors-pour-into-ai-agents.html
17:20 - Humans losing to AI at games https://www.newscientist.com/article/2133146-human-vs-machine-five-epic-fights-against-ai/
17:45 - China experimenting with AI commanders https://www.eurasiantimes.com/china-unveils-worlds-1st-virtual-military/
18:50 - More on stopping autonomous AI weapons https://www.stopkillerrobots.org/
20:00 - Consensus among AI experts about the danger https://www.safe.ai/work/statement-on-ai-risk
20:30 - The problem around AI risk discussion https://youtu.be/2ziuPUeewK0?si=ZY7kTMjE2tT26ZIV&t=1091
21:45 - Other videos explaining AI risk:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pYXy-A4siMw&ab_channel=RobertMilesAISafety
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YZjmZFDx-pA&t=478s&ab_channel=TRTWorld
...

Ex-OpenAI Employee Reveals TERRIFYING Future of AI

June 13, 2024 5:43 pm

Leopold Aschenbrenne, an ex-OpenAI employee fired for leaking information, wrote a 165-page paper outlining how only a few people know what is coming with superintelligence. Here's a breakdown of the paper!

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Carl Shulman (Pt 2) - AI Takeover, Bio & Cyber Attacks, Detecting Deception, & Humanity's Far Future

June 26, 2023 5:21 pm

The second half of my 7 hour conversation with Carl Shulman is out!

My favorite part! And the one that had the biggest impact on my worldview.

Here, Carl lays out how an AI takeover might happen:

- AI can threaten mutually assured destruction from bioweapons,
- use cyber attacks to take over physical infrastructure,
- build mechanical armies,
- spread seed AIs we can never exterminate,
- offer tech and other advantages to collaborating countries, etc

Plus we talk about a whole bunch of weird and interesting topics which Carl has thought about:

- what is the far future best case scenario for humanity
- what it would look like to have AI make thousands of years of intellectual progress in a month
- how do we detect deception in superhuman models
- does space warfare favor defense or offense
- is a Malthusian state inevitable in the long run
- why markets haven't priced in explosive economic growth
- & much more

Carl also explains how he developed such a rigorous, thoughtful, and interdisciplinary model of the biggest problems in the world.

Links

Catch part 1 here: https://youtu.be/_kRg-ZP1vQc
Transcript: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/carl-shulman-2
Apple Podcasts: https://bit.ly/3r1HBJk
Spotify: https://bit.ly/437t50c

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp
Carl's blog: http://reflectivedisequilibrium.blogspot.com/

Sponsor

This episode is sponsored by 80,000 hours. To get their free career guide (and to help out this podcast), please visit 80000hours.org/lunar.

Timestamps

(0:00:00) - Intro
(0:00:47) - AI takeover via cyber or bio
(0:32:27) - Can we coordinate against AI?
(0:53:49) - Human vs AI colonizers
(1:04:55) - Probability of AI takeover
(1:21:56) - Can we detect deception?
(1:47:25) - Using AI to solve coordination problems
(1:56:01) - Partial alignment
(2:11:41) - AI far future
(2:23:04) - Markets & other evidence
(2:33:26) - Day in the life of Carl Shulman
(2:47:05) - Space warfare, Malthusian long run, & other rapid fire
...

A.I. ‐ Humanity's Final Invention?

August 6, 2024 4:00 pm

Go to https://brilliant.org/nutshell/ to dive deeper into these topics and more with a free 30-day trial + 20% off the premium subscription!
This video was sponsored by Brilliant. Thanks a lot for the support!

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Sources & further reading:
https://sites.google.com/view/sources-superintelligence/

Humans rule Earth without competition. But we are about to create something that may change that: our last invention, the most powerful tool, weapon, or maybe even entity: Artificial Super intelligence. This sounds like science fiction, so let’s start at the beginning.

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Rebecca Gorman | This House Believes Artificial Intelligence Is An Existential Threat | CUS

October 22, 2023 7:00 pm

Rebecca Gorman speaks as the Second Proposition speaker on the motion in the Debating Chamber on Thursday 12th October 2023.

The rapid growth in the capabilities of AI have struck fear into the hearts of many, while others herald it as mankind's greatest innovation. From autonomous weapons to cancer-curing algorithms to a malicious superintelligence, we aim to discover whether AI will be the end of us or the beginning of a new era.
............................................................................................................................

Rebecca Gorman
Rebecca Gorman is the Founder and CEO of Aligned AI, an IT consulting group working to make sure AI functions in alignment with human ethics and values. She was named in REWork's Top 100 Women Advancing AI in 2023, nominated for VentureBeat's Women in AI Award for Responsibility and Ethics in AI, and is a member of Fortune's Founders Forum.


Thumbnail Photographer: Nordin Catic

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How AI is Impacting the "Doomsday Clock": Major General (Ret.) Robert Latiff

July 20, 2024 2:33 am

Major General (ret.) Robert Latiff talks about why AI factors in to The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists’ recent “Doomsday Clock” assessment.

He says:
— We're not being aggressive enough at controlling AI
— These are "really dangerous"
— A big concern is the implementation of AI in military command and control systems
...

Top AI Scientists on AI Catastrophe

July 7, 2024 2:20 am

Collection of statements from leading AI Scientists on AI Risk. Video by Daniel Schmachtenberger et al. ...

Superintelligence: Science or Fiction? | Elon Musk & Other Great Minds

January 31, 2017 2:12 am

Elon Musk, Stuart Russell, Ray Kurzweil, Demis Hassabis, Sam Harris, Nick Bostrom, David Chalmers, Bart Selman, and Jaan Tallinn discuss with Max Tegmark (moderator) what likely outcomes might be if we succeed in building human-level AGI, and also what we would like to happen.

The Beneficial AI 2017 Conference: In our sequel to the 2015 Puerto Rico AI conference, we brought together an amazing group of AI researchers from academia and industry, and thought leaders in economics, law, ethics, and philosophy for five days dedicated to beneficial AI. We hosted a two-day workshop for our grant recipients and followed that with a 2.5-day conference, in which people from various AI-related fields hashed out opportunities and challenges related to the future of AI and steps we can take to ensure that the technology is beneficial.

You can find an audio balanced version of this panel here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OFBwz4R6Fi0

For more information on the BAI ‘17 Conference:

https://futureoflife.org/ai-principles/

https://futureoflife.org/bai-2017/

https://futureoflife.org/2017/01/17/principled-ai-discussion-asilomar/
...

Ex-Google CEO's BANNED Interview LEAKED: "You Have No Idea What's Coming"

August 26, 2024 8:19 pm

Ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt recently made headlines with some controversial comments about AI during an interview conduced at Stanford University. This interview was taken down at his request after he admitted to misspeaking. But did Eric Schmidt actually let on to something big coming in terms of the future of AI? ...

Liv Boeree on Moloch, Beauty Filters, Game Theory, Institutions, and AI

March 16, 2023 8:23 pm

Liv Boeree joins the podcast to discuss Moloch, beauty filters, game theory, institutional change, and artificial intelligence. You can read more about Liv's work here: https://livboeree.com

Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
01:57 What is Moloch?
04:13 Beauty filters
10:06 Science citations
15:18 Resisting Moloch
20:51 New institutions
26:02 Moloch and WinWin
28:41 Changing systems
33:37 Artificial intelligence
39:14 AI acceleration

Social Media Links:
➡️ WEBSITE: https://futureoflife.org
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